Afton is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Afton typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Afton, ~10% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Afton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Afton leans more Republican than 28 of 67 neighbors.
Afton runs about 39 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Afton. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+60), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Afton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Afton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Afton, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points below the Tennessee average of 22%.
Adult arthritis and voter turnout
Places with a high adult-arthritis rate tend to turn out at a lower rate; Afton, TN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Arthritis does not drive turnout; it reflects the age and health profile of an area.
Why turnout in Afton looks the way it does
Turnout in Afton sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brittontown, TN R+73
- Union Temple, TN R+71
- Chuckey, TN R+69
- Tusculum, TN R+50
- Horse Creek, TN R+69
- Limestone, TN R+70
- Greeneville, TN R+57
- Baileyton, TN R+65
- Rockwood Hill, TN R+57
- Holland Mill, TN R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Pine Grove, CA R+29
- Success, MO R+9
- Boylston, MA D+11
- Schriever, LA R+53
- Gordon, GA R+30
- Shannon Hills, AR R+15
- Painted Post, NY R+23
- Louisville, GA D+23
- Beecher, MI D+64
- Johnson, AR R+8
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.