Palm Valley leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Palm Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Palm Valley, ~24% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Palm Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Palm Valley leans more Republican than 54 of 58 neighbors.
Palm Valley runs about 9 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Palm Valley. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+23) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Palm Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Palm Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Palm Valley votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 96%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Palm Valley, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Palm Valley looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Palm Valley is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 27%, about 9 points above the Texas average of 19%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Primera, TX R+9
- Harlingen, TX R+3
- Combes, TX R+9
- La Feria, TX R+4
- Santa Rosa, TX R+10
- Solis, TX R+11
- Stuart Place, TX R+14
- Rangerville, TX R+17
- Yznaga, TX R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Patoka, IN R+56
- Bannockburn, IL D+26
- Dallesport, WA R+33
- Monette, AR R+61
- Meadview, AZ R+55
- Dow, IL R+36
- Petersburg, PA R+58
- Escobares, TX R+5
- Willard, MI R+38
- North Troy, VT R+30
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.