Escobares leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Escobares typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Escobares, ~26% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Escobares compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Escobares leans more Republican than 6 of 20 neighbors.
Escobares runs about 9 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Escobares. The south side is the most split-leaning (R+14) and the southwest side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Escobares leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Escobares, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Escobares votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 32%, above 81% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 79% of households in Escobares are family households, above 87% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Escobares, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Escobares looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Escobares is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 33%, about 21 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 60% of adults in Escobares have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Escobares sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Old Escobares, TX Even
- Roma, TX R+4
- Los Saenz, TX Even
- Rosita, TX R+15
- Roma Creek, TX R+4
- Fronton, TX R+6
- Los Ebanos, TX R+12
- Rio Grande City, TX R+7
- Salineno, TX R+10
- Santa Cruz, TX R+15
Cities with Similar Populations
- Monette, AR R+61
- Willard, MI R+38
- Meadview, AZ R+55
- Alapaha, GA R+48
- Randolph Center, VT D+12
- Johnson Village, CO R+8
- Vickery, OH R+48
- Dallesport, WA R+33
- Bannockburn, IL D+26
- North Troy, VT R+30
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.