Clayville, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Clayville

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Clayville leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.

 

About more than 99% of adults in Clayville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clayville, ~43% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~0% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Clayville compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Clayville leans more Republican than 34 of 79 neighbors.

Clayville runs about 20 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Clayville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Clayville. The east side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+52), a spread of about 53 points.

Why Clayville leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clayville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 90% of households in Clayville are family households, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Clayville runs against that pattern. Clayville runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Clayville, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in Clayville looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Clayville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in Clayville own their home, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Clayville have completed high school, above 83% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.