Papalote leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Papalote typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Papalote, ~18% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Papalote compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Papalote leans more Republican than 8 of 26 neighbors.
Papalote runs about 21 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Papalote. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+54) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Papalote leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Papalote, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Papalote hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Texas average of 26%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Papalote sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 89% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Papalote, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Papalote looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Papalote is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 22%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 10%. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Papalote sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Skidmore, TX R+44
- Tynan, TX R+56
- West Sinton, TX R+42
- Sinton, TX R+15
- Morgan Farm, TX R+39
- Orangedale, TX R+4
- Beeville, TX R+19
- Sodville, TX R+39
- Mathis, TX R+21
- Hubert, TX R+55
Cities with Similar Populations
- Foose, MO R+69
- Castle Rock, MN R+33
- Williamson, PA R+62
- Denny Store, NC R+21
- Johnsonburg, NJ R+25
- Leburn, KY R+71
- Scale, KY R+52
- Sulphur Springs, IN R+57
- Lobata, WV R+74
- Fort Blackmore, VA R+77
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.