Mathis leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Mathis typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Mathis, ~22% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Mathis compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Mathis leans more Republican than 6 of 27 neighbors.
Mathis runs about 7 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Mathis. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+4) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+52), a spread of about 56 points.
Why Mathis leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Mathis, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 12% of adults in Mathis hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points below the Texas average of 26%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Mathis runs against that pattern.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Mathis, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Mathis looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Mathis is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 44%, about 9 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 74% of adults in Mathis have completed high school, below 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lake City, TX R+35
- Sandia, TX R+60
- Tynan, TX R+56
- San Patricio, TX R+59
- Mount Lucas, TX R+74
- Sandy Hollow-Escondidas, TX R+69
- Hubert, TX R+55
- West Sinton, TX R+42
- Orange Grove, TX R+54
- Edroy, TX R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Berkeley, MO D+72
- Lake Hallie, WI R+16
- North Scituate, RI R+15
- Warrenville, SC R+47
- Elma, WA R+24
- Armonk, NY Even
- Fort Polk South, LA R+22
- Valley Falls, SC R+12
- Manhasset, NY Even
- Stacy, MN R+38
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.