Patrick Afb leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Patrick Afb typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Patrick Afb, ~20% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Patrick Afb compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Patrick Afb leans more Republican than 10 of 19 neighbors.
Patrick Afb runs about 11 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Patrick Afb leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Patrick Afb, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Patrick Afb votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 26%, far below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 81% of households in Patrick Afb are family households, above 92% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Patrick Afb, FL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Patrick Afb looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Patrick Afb is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and more than 99% of households in Patrick Afb rent, compared to around 22% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Satellite Beach, FL R+24
- Palm Shores, FL R+28
- Cocoa Beach, FL R+21
- Indian Harbour Beach, FL R+26
- Melbourne, FL R+19
- Rockledge, FL R+17
- Indialantic, FL R+21
- Cape Canaveral, FL R+18
- Merritt Island, FL R+27
- Melbourne Village, FL R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Talbotton, GA D+25
- Boyden, IA R+72
- Coalfield, TN R+67
- Big Island, VA R+54
- Tiskilwa, IL R+42
- Cub Run, KY R+65
- Sunbright, TN R+75
- Cherry Valley, NY R+15
- Barneveld, NY R+31
- Armuchee, GA R+72
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.