Patterson leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Patterson typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Patterson, ~15% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Patterson compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Patterson leans more Republican than 13 of 63 neighbors.
Patterson runs about 13 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Patterson leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Patterson, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in Patterson drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Patterson sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 86% of cities).
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Patterson, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Patterson looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Patterson is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 29% of households in Patterson rent, above 83% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 24% of adults in Patterson report food insecurity, above 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McCrory, AR R+54
- Riverside, AR R+66
- Pumpkin Bend, AR R+73
- New Augusta, AR R+53
- Augusta, AR R+18
- Morton, AR R+75
- Wiville, AR R+73
- Tupelo, AR R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- South Anna, VA R+40
- Fort Mitchell, VA R+26
- Corwith, IA R+52
- Duck Creek Village, UT R+52
- Berwyn, NE R+80
- Okreek, SD D+27
- Guilford, IL R+29
- Verdery, SC R+25
- Loomis, NY R+15
- Milton, IL R+69
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.