Paul Smiths leans Democratic by roughly 20 points: about 60% of voters vote Democratic and 40% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Paul Smiths typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paul Smiths, ~29% vote Democratic, ~19% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paul Smiths compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paul Smiths leans more Democratic than 33 of 36 neighbors.
Paul Smiths runs about 7 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Paul Smiths. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+21) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Paul Smiths leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paul Smiths, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 43% of adults in Paul Smiths hold a bachelor's degree, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 59% of adults in Paul Smiths have never been married, in the top fraction of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Paul Smiths, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Paul Smiths looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 29% of households in Paul Smiths rent, above 82% of cities. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Paul Smiths sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Upper St. Regis, NY D+18
- Gabriels, NY D+20
- Rainbow Lake, NY D+20
- Lake Clear, NY D+21
- Brainardsville, NY D+18
- Saranac Inn, NY R+9
- Bloomingdale, NY D+14
- Vermontville, NY D+9
- Saranac Lake, NY D+26
- Loon Lake, NY D+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hernshaw, WV R+59
- West Hollis, ME R+29
- West Finley, PA R+59
- Ceylon, MN R+56
- Grants Lick, KY R+55
- Eureka, WI R+41
- Dwight, KS R+60
- Calcasieu, LA R+84
- Ranshaw, PA R+56
- Santee, NE R+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.