Pauline is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Pauline typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pauline, ~9% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pauline compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pauline leans more Republican than 57 of 65 neighbors.
Pauline runs about 48 points more Republican than South Carolina as a whole.
Why Pauline leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pauline, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Pauline are family households, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Pauline, SC does.
Why turnout in Pauline looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pauline is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 8% of homes in Pauline have more than one occupant per room, above 94% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in Pauline have completed high school, below 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Walnut Grove, SC R+71
- Glenn Springs, SC R+66
- West Springs, SC R+64
- Golightly, SC R+58
- Kilgore, SC R+69
- Enoree, SC R+62
- Roebuck, SC R+32
- Cross Anchor, SC R+66
- Buffalo, SC R+60
- Cross Keys, SC R+23
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kingwood, WV R+53
- Noyack, NY D+14
- Woodstock, NY D+61
- Horace, ND R+34
- Townville, SC R+62
- Barto, PA R+37
- Kitty Hawk, NC R+27
- Newton Grove, NC R+46
- Glade Spring, VA R+60
- O'Neill, NE R+66
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from South Carolina State Election Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.