Paxton leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Paxton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Paxton, ~41% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Paxton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Paxton leans more Democratic than 91 of 118 neighbors.
Paxton runs about 13 points more Republican than Massachusetts as a whole.
Why Paxton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Paxton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 55% of adults in Paxton hold a bachelor's degree, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in Paxton have never been married, above 85% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Paxton, MA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Paxton looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Paxton is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 78%, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Paxton own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Paxton have completed high school, above 81% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sandy Beach, MA D+4
- Tafts Corner, MA R+12
- Turkey Hill Shores, MA Even
- Leicester, MA R+11
- Holden, MA D+12
- Cherry Valley, MA R+6
- Lower Wire Village, MA R+17
- Jefferson, MA D+10
- Spencer, MA R+4
- Rutland, MA R+8
Cities with Similar Populations
- Prudenville, MI R+27
- Farley, KY R+41
- Jacksonville, OR R+6
- Schulenburg, TX R+50
- Marietta, OK R+57
- Highland Lake, NJ R+17
- Centreville, IL D+84
- Fordyce, AR R+7
- Burnettown, SC R+33
- Ashland, NE R+38
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.