Payne Beach leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Payne Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Payne Beach, ~36% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Payne Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Payne Beach leans more Republican than 35 of 62 neighbors.
Payne Beach runs about 35 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Payne Beach is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Payne Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Payne Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Payne Beach votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Payne Beach runs about 35 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Payne Beach are family households, above 83% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Payne Beach, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Payne Beach looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Payne Beach is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 99% of households in Payne Beach own their home, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Payne Beach have completed high school, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hilton, NY R+22
- Parma Center, NY R+29
- Walker, NY R+36
- Clarkson, NY R+28
- Parma Corners, NY R+22
- Greece, NY Even
- South Greece, NY R+15
- Garland, NY R+30
- Hamlin, NY R+29
- Spencerport, NY R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Williamsville, MA R+10
- Elderon, WI R+44
- Cotton Plant, AR R+2
- Junior, WV R+64
- Panama, IL R+51
- Ebro, MN R+32
- Crawfordsville, OR R+46
- Beatrice, AL R+5
- Vernon Center, MN R+48
- Crosspointe, VA D+22
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.