Pine Bluff leans heavily Democratic by roughly 50 points: about 75% of voters vote Democratic and 25% Republican.
About 52% of adults in Pine Bluff typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pine Bluff, ~39% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~48% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pine Bluff compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pine Bluff is the most Democratic-leaning.
Pine Bluff runs about 80 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole. Arkansas leans Republican overall, while Pine Bluff is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pine Bluff. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+77) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+20), a spread of about 57 points.
Why Pine Bluff leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pine Bluff, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Density combined with diversity predicts Democratic voting. Non-Hispanic white share in Pine Bluff is about 25%, about 47 points below the U.S. average of 72%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in Pine Bluff have never been married, above 95% of cities. Pine Bluff runs against the grain of Arkansas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Pine Bluff, AR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Pine Bluff looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pine Bluff is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 12 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 40% of households in Pine Bluff rent, compared to around 21% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in Pine Bluff report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- White Hall, AR R+20
- Ladd, AR D+19
- Pastoria, AR R+52
- Madding, AR R+41
- Hooker, AR R+53
- Randall, AR R+54
- Kedron, AR R+45
- Sherrill, AR D+3
- Prague, AR R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Germantown, TN R+19
- Clifton Park, NY D+9
- North Augusta, SC R+29
- Kailua, HI D+28
- Marion, IA Even
- Vestavia Hills, AL R+23
- Aiea, HI D+20
- Woonsocket, RI D+12
- Winder, GA R+34
- Merritt Island, FL R+27
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.