Pope Valley is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Pope Valley typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pope Valley, ~23% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pope Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pope Valley leans more Republican than 23 of 33 neighbors.
Pope Valley runs about 24 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Pope Valley is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pope Valley. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+17), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Pope Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pope Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Pope Valley votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Pope Valley runs about 24 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Pope Valley, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Pope Valley looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 39% of households in Pope Valley rent, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in Pope Valley have completed high school, below 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Angwin, CA D+26
- Whispering Pines, CA R+21
- Deer Park, CA D+30
- Calistoga, CA D+41
- St. Helena, CA D+37
- Hidden Valley Lake, CA R+13
- Rutherford, CA D+39
- Kellog, CA D+25
- Middletown, CA R+9
- Rumsey, CA R+17
Cities with Similar Populations
- Union, IA R+47
- Zenith Heights, MI R+15
- Dowell, IL R+54
- Magnolia Springs, TX R+77
- Doyle, CA R+51
- Wardsboro, VT D+5
- Buchanan Lake Village, TX R+69
- Signpine, VA R+50
- Rolling Fields, KY D+4
- Lake Buckhorn, OH R+70
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.