Port Tobacco leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Port Tobacco typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Port Tobacco, ~34% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Port Tobacco compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Port Tobacco leans more Republican than 95 of 118 neighbors.
Port Tobacco runs about 55 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Port Tobacco is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Port Tobacco. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+6) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+38), a spread of about 44 points.
Why Port Tobacco leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Port Tobacco, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Port Tobacco votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Port Tobacco runs about 55 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Port Tobacco, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Port Tobacco looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Port Tobacco is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Port Tobacco own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Port Tobacco have completed high school, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Port Tobacco Village, MD R+20
- Marshalls Corner, MD D+5
- Welcome, MD R+33
- La Plata, MD D+5
- Bel Alton, MD R+31
- Ripley, MD D+35
- Pomfret, MD D+19
- Faulkner, MD R+37
- Marbury, MD D+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Remerton, GA D+38
- Porterdale, GA D+3
- Huntsville, TN R+68
- Arena, WI R+4
- Higdon, AL R+83
- Valle Vista, AZ R+55
- West Milford, WV R+60
- Williamsburg, MA D+42
- Mulliken, MI R+36
- Lansing, IA R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.