Potter Valley is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Potter Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Potter Valley, ~36% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Potter Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Potter Valley sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 8 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 7 leaning the other way.
Potter Valley runs about 21 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Potter Valley sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Potter Valley. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+9), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Potter Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Potter Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Potter Valley votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Potter Valley runs about 21 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Potter Valley, CA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Potter Valley looks the way it does
Turnout in Potter Valley sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Redwood Valley, CA R+4
- Vichy Springs, CA D+26
- Muir, CA D+10
- Witter Springs, CA R+7
- Ukiah, CA D+18
- Calpella, CA D+17
- Willits, CA D+16
- Upper Lake, CA R+7
- Talmage, CA D+11
- North Lakeport, CA R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Middlebourne, WV R+63
- Poland, NY R+38
- Lilesville, NC D+8
- Millstone, NJ D+6
- Ramer, TN R+74
- DePue, IL D+2
- Shaftsburg, MI R+20
- St. Elmo, IL R+63
- Morven, GA R+44
- Bennett, NC R+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.