Muir leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Muir typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Muir, ~36% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Muir compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Muir leans more Democratic than 3 of 20 neighbors.
Muir runs about 11 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Muir. The west side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+22) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Muir leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Muir. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Muir, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Muir looks the way it does
Turnout in Muir sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Willits, CA D+16
- Redwood Valley, CA R+4
- Potter Valley, CA Even
- Comptche, CA D+45
- Calpella, CA D+17
- Ukiah, CA D+18
- Vichy Springs, CA D+26
- Navarro, CA D+42
- Redwood Lodge, CA D+31
- Talmage, CA D+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Memphis, MO R+57
- Graford, TX R+79
- Pelham, NC R+36
- Post Oak Bend City, TX R+61
- Outlook, WA R+28
- Smithfield, KY R+51
- Whitley City, KY R+72
- Smyrna Landing, DE R+43
- Argyle, NY R+34
- Toms Brook, VA R+50
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.