Prairie Grove leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Prairie Grove typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Prairie Grove, ~18% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Prairie Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Prairie Grove leans more Republican than 25 of 53 neighbors.
Prairie Grove runs about 15 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Prairie Grove. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+57) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+40), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Prairie Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Prairie Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Prairie Grove votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 28%, modestly above the Arkansas average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Local retail density and voter turnout
Places with dense local retail within a mile tend to turn out at a higher rate; Prairie Grove, AR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Nearby retail does not change how people vote; it reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Prairie Grove looks the way it does
Turnout in Prairie Grove sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rhea, AR R+55
- Farmington, AR R+22
- Lincoln, AR R+53
- Greenland, AR R+28
- West Fork, AR R+37
- Clyde, AR R+58
- Morrow, AR R+57
- Strickler, AR R+46
- Canehill, AR R+57
- Summers, AR R+61
Cities with Similar Populations
- Talbott, TN R+62
- Vale, NC R+61
- New Boston, MI R+27
- Lebanon, NH D+45
- Oroville East, CA R+29
- Inwood, NY D+14
- Rolesville, NC D+8
- Mendham, NJ Even
- Shelley, ID R+64
- Dunbar, WV D+3
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.