Rains County is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Rains County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rains County, ~10% vote Democratic, ~67% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rains County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Rains County is the most Republican-leaning.
Rains County runs about 61 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Why Rains County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rains County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 75% of households in Rains County are family households, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 67%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Rains County sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 9%, below 83% of counties).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Rains County, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Rains County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 82% of households in Rains County own their home, about 8 points above the Texas average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Hopkins County, TX R+61
- Van Zandt County, TX R+72
- Hunt County, TX R+49
- Wood County, TX R+68
- Delta County, TX R+68
- Kaufman County, TX R+29
- Rockwall County, TX R+35
- Franklin County, TX R+62
- Henderson County, TX R+60
- Camp County, TX R+41
Counties with Similar Populations
- Morrow County, OR R+36
- Rolette County, ND D+33
- Union County, IA R+33
- Crawford County, GA R+48
- Glades County, FL R+47
- Edmonson County, KY R+67
- Blackford County, IN R+49
- Newton County, TX R+61
- Lake County, MI R+30
- Todd County, KY R+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.