Red Oak leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Red Oak typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Red Oak, ~24% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Red Oak compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Red Oak leans more Republican than 44 of 64 neighbors.
Red Oak runs about 38 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Red Oak is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Red Oak leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Red Oak, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Red Oak drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Red Oak runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Red Oak, VA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Red Oak looks the way it does
Turnout in Red Oak sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wylliesburg, VA R+27
- Dryburg, VA R+29
- Skipwith, VA R+28
- Saxe, VA R+30
- Chase City, VA Even
- Clover, VA R+15
- Jeffress, VA R+28
- Midway, VA R+42
- Finneywood, VA R+7
- Buffalo Springs, VA R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wiggins, TX R+75
- Murphy, OK R+65
- Bussey, IA R+52
- Rochester Mills, PA R+67
- Fargo, MI R+54
- Burghill, OH R+48
- Pleasant Plains, NJ D+22
- Moseleyville, KY R+57
- Claud, AL R+74
- Fruitland, WA D+6
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.