Midway leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Midway typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Midway, ~24% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Midway compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Midway leans more Republican than 63 of 68 neighbors.
Midway runs about 48 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Midway is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Midway. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+27), a spread of about 29 points.
Why Midway leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Midway, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Midway votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Midway runs about 48 points more Republican.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Midway, VA does.
Why turnout in Midway looks the way it does
Turnout in Midway sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Jeffress, VA R+28
- Clarksville, VA R+26
- Skipwith, VA R+28
- Puryear Corner, VA R+31
- Finchley, VA R+20
- Buffalo Junction, VA R+35
- Buffalo Springs, VA R+39
- Red Oak, VA R+33
- Nelson, VA R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Weches, TX R+81
- Zetus, MS R+73
- Nettleton, MO R+68
- Hinch, MO R+65
- New Alluwe, OK R+66
- Good Hope, TN R+68
- Navina, OK R+61
- Hunts Corner, ME R+11
- West Mineral, KS R+67
- Rosboro, AR R+72
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.