Saxe leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Saxe typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Saxe, ~20% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Saxe compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Saxe leans more Republican than 37 of 63 neighbors.
Saxe runs about 36 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Saxe is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Saxe leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Saxe, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Saxe votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Saxe runs about 36 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Saxe sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 77% of cities).
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as Saxe, VA does.
Why turnout in Saxe looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 20% of adults in Saxe report food insecurity, above 82% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wylliesburg, VA R+27
- Drakes Branch, VA R+28
- Randolph, VA R+33
- Finneywood, VA R+7
- Red Oak, VA R+33
- Ontario, VA R+24
- Clover, VA R+15
- Plantersville, VA R+43
- Providence, VA R+41
- Mount Laurel, VA R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Glenwood, NY R+33
- Fenwick Hills, SC Even
- Quartz, CA R+32
- Walnut, IA R+43
- South Barnstead, NH R+22
- Midway, IN R+50
- Olga, WA D+58
- Callands, VA R+37
- West College Corner, IN R+59
- Glenray, WV R+51
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.