Rogers leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Rogers typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rogers, ~49% vote Democratic, ~60% Republican, and ~-9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rogers compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Rogers leans more Republican than 55 of 93 neighbors.
Rogers runs about 14 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Rogers is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Rogers leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rogers, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rogers votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 63%, far above the Minnesota average of 23%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Rogers are family households, above 80% of cities. Rogers runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Rogers, MN does.
Why turnout in Rogers looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Rogers is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Rogers have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dayton, MN R+5
- St. Michael, MN R+19
- Otsego, MN R+24
- Hanover, MN R+25
- Albertville, MN R+16
- Corcoran, MN R+12
- Ramsey, MN R+11
- Osseo, MN D+8
- Maple Grove, MN D+18
- Elk River, MN R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Patchogue, NY R+2
- Prunedale, CA Even
- Burnet, TX R+60
- Pella, IA R+25
- Tega Cay, SC R+17
- West Milford, NJ R+24
- Ortonville, MI R+29
- Northlake, IL D+17
- Banta, CA R+12
- Hasbrouck Heights, NJ R+7
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.