St. Michael, MN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in St. Michael

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

St. Michael leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.

 

About 97% of adults in St. Michael typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Michael, ~40% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How St. Michael compares

Among cities within 25 miles, St. Michael leans more Republican than 51 of 86 neighbors.

St. Michael runs about 23 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while St. Michael is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within St. Michael. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+26) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 12 points.

Why St. Michael leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for St. Michael, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

St. Michael votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 62%, far above the Minnesota average of 23%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in St. Michael are family households, above 79% of cities. St. Michael runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; St. Michael, MN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in St. Michael looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. St. Michael is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 90% of households in St. Michael own their home, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in St. Michael have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.