Rolphs leans heavily Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Rolphs typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Rolphs, ~29% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Rolphs compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Rolphs leans more Republican than 48 of 98 neighbors.
Rolphs runs about 59 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Rolphs is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Rolphs leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Rolphs, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rolphs votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Rolphs runs about 59 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 78% of households in Rolphs are family households, above 85% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Rolphs, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Rolphs looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Rolphs is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 60% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in Rolphs own their home, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Church Hill, MD R+29
- Starkey Corner, MD R+29
- Ewingville, MD R+36
- Kingstown, MD D+6
- Johnsontown, MD R+40
- Chestertown, MD D+8
- Newtown, MD R+33
- Pomona, MD D+6
- Foxley Manor, MD D+17
- Roberts, MD R+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Primrose, NE R+69
- Westerville, NE R+74
- Seven Springs, PA R+58
- Theba, AZ R+6
- Olin, TX R+75
- Leon, AL R+49
- Grady, NM R+79
- Clearwater Park, VA R+65
- San Lorenzo, NM Even
- Goodenow, IL R+39
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.