Newtown leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 91% of adults in Newtown typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Newtown, ~30% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Newtown compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Newtown leans more Republican than 57 of 99 neighbors.
Newtown runs about 62 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Newtown is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Newtown. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Newtown leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Newtown, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Newtown votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Newtown runs about 62 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 83% of households in Newtown are family households, above 94% of cities.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Newtown, MD sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Newtown looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Newtown is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Johnsontown, MD R+40
- Centreville, MD R+32
- Starr, MD R+21
- Price, MD R+36
- Starkey Corner, MD R+29
- Pomona, MD D+6
- Rolphs, MD R+31
- Kingstown, MD D+6
- Church Hill, MD R+29
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hannon, AL D+77
- North Brookfield, NY R+45
- Sparks Hill, IL R+61
- Jonas Ridge, NC R+39
- Pumpkin Hill, NY R+42
- Lushton, NE R+67
- Robinhood, MS R+79
- Richland, KY R+52
- Beard, IN R+62
- Egbert, WY R+65
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.