Theba leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 25% of adults in Theba typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Theba, ~12% vote Democratic, ~13% Republican, and ~75% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Theba compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Theba is the least Republican-leaning.
Politically, Theba sits close to the rest of Arizona.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Theba. The northwest side is the most split-leaning (R+16) and the east side is the least split-leaning (R+3), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Theba leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Theba, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Theba live in densely developed areas, about 37 points below the Arizona average of 39%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Theba are family households, above 82% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Theba, AZ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Theba looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Theba is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 14 points below the Arizona average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 30% of households in Theba rent, above 84% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 38% of adults in Theba report food insecurity, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gila Bend, AZ R+6
- Sil Murk, AZ R+9
- Perryville, AZ R+21
- Arlington, AZ R+49
- Dateland, AZ R+37
- Palo Verde, AZ R+44
- Tonopah, AZ R+50
- Rainbow Valley, AZ R+30
- Ajo, AZ D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stacy, AR R+54
- Garfield, WI R+14
- San Lorenzo, NM Even
- San Manuel-Linn, TX R+13
- Yates, MO R+67
- Chief Lake, WI D+44
- Needmore, IN R+17
- Wheatcroft, KY R+65
- Nickleville, PA R+57
- Ericsburg, MN R+36
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.