San Jon is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 76% of adults in San Jon typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in San Jon, ~12% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How San Jon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, San Jon leans more Republican than 2 of 3 neighbors.
San Jon runs about 76 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while San Jon is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within San Jon. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+73) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+63), a spread of about 10 points.
Why San Jon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for San Jon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
San Jon votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while San Jon runs about 76 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and San Jon sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 95% of cities).
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a rural land-use pattern tend to turn out at a higher rate, as San Jon, NM does.
Why turnout in San Jon looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in San Jon have completed high school, about 9 points above the New Mexico average of 87%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Logan, NM R+67
- Tucumcari, NM R+19
- Grady, NM R+79
- Glenrio, TX R+73
- Quay, NM R+73
- Broadview, NM R+84
- Nara Visa, NM R+70
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yum Yum, TN R+26
- Montezuma, NM D+13
- Pumpkin Center, CA R+29
- Hoven, SD R+72
- Lawley, AL R+67
- Fort Monroe, VA D+13
- Empire, CO D+4
- Honey Grove, PA R+67
- Maharishi Vedic City, IA R+42
- Alvin, IL R+60
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.