Pumpkin Center leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 35% of adults in Pumpkin Center typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Pumpkin Center, ~12% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~65% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Pumpkin Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Pumpkin Center leans more Republican than 7 of 20 neighbors.
Pumpkin Center runs about 49 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Pumpkin Center is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Pumpkin Center. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+57) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+16), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Pumpkin Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Pumpkin Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Pumpkin Center votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Pumpkin Center runs about 49 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Pumpkin Center are family households, above 80% of cities.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a high uninsured rate tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Pumpkin Center, CA does.
Why turnout in Pumpkin Center looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Pumpkin Center is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 23% of adults in Pumpkin Center report food insecurity, above 88% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in Pumpkin Center have completed high school, below 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lamont, CA D+15
- Bakersfield, CA R+12
- Weedpatch, CA Even
- Di Giorgio, CA R+31
- Arvin, CA D+9
- Oildale, CA R+34
- Edmundson Acres, CA Even
- Edison, CA R+36
- Cawelo, CA R+52
- Tupman, CA R+73
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yum Yum, TN R+26
- Honey Grove, PA R+67
- Lawley, AL R+67
- Hoven, SD R+72
- Alvin, IL R+60
- Taylorstown, PA R+50
- Freistatt, MO R+72
- Wingate, IN R+63
- Orangeville, IN R+65
- Taylor, NE R+72
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.