Scotts Valley leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Scotts Valley typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Scotts Valley, ~60% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Scotts Valley compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Scotts Valley leans more Democratic than 33 of 47 neighbors.
Scotts Valley runs about 22 points more Democratic than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Scotts Valley. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+48) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+37), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Scotts Valley leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Scotts Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 58% of adults in Scotts Valley hold a bachelor's degree, about 30 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Scotts Valley sits in the top fifth on density (about 50%, above 87% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Scotts Valley, CA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Scotts Valley looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Scotts Valley is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Scotts Valley have completed high school, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mount Hermon, CA D+46
- Felton, CA D+39
- Ben Lomond, CA D+31
- Soquel, CA D+44
- Santa Cruz, CA D+62
- Lompico, CA D+30
- Capitola, CA D+49
- Brookdale, CA D+36
- Aptos, CA D+42
- Boulder Creek, CA D+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- White Center, WA D+42
- Bridgeville, PA Even
- Fate, TX R+31
- Rye, NY D+22
- White House, TN R+49
- Brownsville, FL D+47
- Ocean Acres, NJ R+33
- Hillsboro, OH R+57
- Aledo, TX R+56
- Fort Carson, CO R+16
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.