Seguin is a Republican stronghold. About 7% of voters here vote Democratic and 93% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Seguin typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Seguin, ~4% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Seguin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Seguin leans more Republican than 15 of 16 neighbors.
Seguin runs about 70 points more Republican than Kansas as a whole.
Why Seguin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Seguin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Seguin, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 21 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 10 points below the Kansas average of 27%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Seguin sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 87% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Seguin, KS sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Seguin looks the way it does
Turnout in Seguin sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Hoxie, KS R+74
- Menlo, KS R+83
- Rexford, KS R+81
- Selden, KS R+83
- Leoville, KS R+82
- Tasco, KS R+86
- Grinnell, KS R+81
- Grainfield, KS R+82
- Park, KS R+83
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sequoyah, OK R+56
- Seneca, IA R+55
- Bryson, CA R+25
- Kokomo, TX R+78
- Silverdale, IN R+52
- Point Pleasant, MO R+64
- Cade, OK R+73
- Poplar Springs, TN R+59
- Mecca, MO R+52
- McNatt, MO R+73
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.