Seminole County leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Seminole County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Seminole County, ~27% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Seminole County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Seminole County leans more Republican than 10 of 15 neighbors.
Seminole County runs about 27 points more Republican than Georgia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Seminole County. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+29) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+76), a spread of about 105 points.
Why Seminole County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Seminole County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 13% of adults in Seminole County hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Georgia average of 24%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 70% of households in Seminole County are family households, above 79% of counties.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Seminole County, GA sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Seminole County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 80% of households in Seminole County own their home, about 7 points above the Georgia average of 73%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Seminole County sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Miller County, GA R+44
- Decatur County, GA R+10
- Jackson County, FL R+41
- Early County, GA R+6
- Gadsden County, FL D+28
- Baker County, GA R+16
- Houston County, AL R+30
- Calhoun County, FL R+59
- Grady County, GA R+29
- Liberty County, FL R+45
Counties with Similar Populations
- McLean County, KY R+58
- Montmorency County, MI R+42
- Pratt County, KS R+53
- Claiborne County, MS D+61
- Jones County, NC R+24
- Forest County, WI R+33
- Davis County, IA R+59
- Terrell County, GA D+18
- Johnson County, GA R+39
- Stephens County, TX R+68
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Georgia Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.