Shelburne leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Vermont did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 80% of adults in Shelburne typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Shelburne, ~57% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Shelburne compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Shelburne leans more Democratic than 63 of 66 neighbors.
Shelburne runs about 10 points more Democratic than Vermont as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Shelburne. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+52) and the north side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+27), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Shelburne leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Shelburne, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 71% of adults in Shelburne hold a bachelor's degree, about 42 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Shelburne, VT sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Shelburne looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Shelburne is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 80%, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Shelburne have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Shelburne Falls, VT D+46
- South Burlington, VT D+37
- Charlotte, VT D+34
- Burlington, VT D+65
- Williston, VT D+22
- Hinesburg, VT D+20
- Winooski, VT D+57
- Prindle Corner, VT D+31
- North Ferrisburgh, VT D+23
- Essex, VT D+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wellington, KS R+39
- Colfax, CA R+26
- Livingston, TN R+64
- Lisbon, OH R+51
- Atlantic Highlands, NJ Even
- Clinton, IL R+36
- Oakdale, LA R+26
- Runnemede, NJ Even
- Anaconda, MT R+15
- Park City, KS R+26
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Vermont Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. VT did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.