Smithboro leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Smithboro typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smithboro, ~25% vote Democratic, ~61% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smithboro compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smithboro leans more Republican than 48 of 108 neighbors.
Smithboro runs about 54 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Smithboro is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Smithboro leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smithboro, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. More than 99% of residents in Smithboro drive to work alone, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Smithboro runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Smithboro, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Smithboro looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Smithboro is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 58% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and more than 99% of households in Smithboro own their home, compared to around 80% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Barton, NY R+43
- Nichols, NY R+42
- Glencairn, NY R+45
- Lounsberry, NY R+41
- East Athens, PA R+57
- Waverly, NY R+32
- Straits Corners, NY R+40
- Sayre, PA R+25
- South Waverly, PA R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Acequia, ID R+75
- Indianola, PA Even
- Witts Springs, AR R+63
- Ingham Mills, NY R+51
- Plew, MO R+73
- Pleasant Home, OH R+60
- Enon, FL R+62
- Taylors Corner, NC R+57
- Mcleod, ND R+50
- Rondo, AR R+12
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.