Glencairn leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Glencairn typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Glencairn, ~17% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Glencairn compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Glencairn leans more Republican than 59 of 104 neighbors.
Glencairn runs about 58 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Glencairn is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Glencairn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Glencairn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 91% of residents in Glencairn drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Glencairn fits that profile on both counts. Glencairn runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Glencairn, NY sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Glencairn looks the way it does
Turnout in Glencairn sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Barton, NY R+43
- Smithboro, NY R+42
- Waverly, NY R+32
- Lockwood, NY R+47
- South Waverly, PA R+26
- Sayre, PA R+25
- Nichols, NY R+42
- Chemung, NY R+49
- Straits Corners, NY R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Brownwood, GA R+45
- Springdale, TN R+70
- Howley, TN R+66
- Kolin, LA R+85
- Flora, LA R+79
- Linneus, ME R+44
- Robertsville, OH R+51
- Burlington, TX R+70
- Harford, NY R+34
- Newington, NH D+21
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.