Smithville leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Smithville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Smithville, ~23% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Smithville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Smithville leans more Republican than 70 of 105 neighbors.
Smithville runs about 69 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Smithville is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Smithville. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 36 points.
Why Smithville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Smithville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Smithville votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Smithville runs about 69 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Smithville, MD sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Smithville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Smithville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 59% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Concord, MD R+27
- Woodenhawk, DE R+39
- Federalsburg, MD R+21
- Hobbs, MD R+45
- Hynson, MD R+26
- Harmony, MD R+47
- Cocked Hat, DE R+38
- Williston, MD R+42
- Denton, MD R+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zortman, MT R+59
- Sigsbee, GA R+72
- Carbondale, WV R+54
- Monterey, NY R+47
- Frankel City, TX R+77
- Silver Sands Beach, ID R+65
- Moore, WV R+60
- Montgomery, IA R+53
- Plymouth, MO R+71
- Wabash, NE R+45
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.