Soda Bay is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Soda Bay typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Soda Bay, ~36% vote Democratic, ~37% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Soda Bay compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Soda Bay sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 16 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 15 leaning the other way.
Soda Bay runs about 20 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Soda Bay. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Soda Bay leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Soda Bay. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Soda Bay, CA sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Soda Bay looks the way it does
Turnout in Soda Bay sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kelseyville, CA D+2
- Finley, CA R+10
- Glenhaven, CA D+8
- Clearlake Park, CA R+8
- Lucerne, CA R+10
- Lakeport, CA R+7
- Seigler Springs, CA D+4
- Clearlake, CA Even
- Clearlake Oaks, CA Even
- Cobb, CA D+5
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. Omer, IN R+61
- Hustburg, TN R+66
- Hamill, SD R+69
- Oleander, CA R+37
- Ben Franklin, TX R+75
- Bristow, NE R+73
- Quincy, MS R+84
- Quitman, MO R+66
- Jacksonport, AR R+51
- Porter, WA R+36
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.