South Ogdensburg leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in South Ogdensburg typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Ogdensburg, ~41% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~-3% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Ogdensburg compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Ogdensburg leans more Republican than 93 of 153 neighbors.
South Ogdensburg runs about 27 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while South Ogdensburg is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why South Ogdensburg leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Ogdensburg, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
South Ogdensburg votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 20%, far below the New Jersey average of 61%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 84% of households in South Ogdensburg are family households, above 96% of cities. South Ogdensburg runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; South Ogdensburg, NJ sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in South Ogdensburg looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. South Ogdensburg is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in South Ogdensburg own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in South Ogdensburg have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Ogdensburg, NJ R+23
- Sparta, NJ R+18
- Upper Mohawk, NJ R+20
- Stockholm, NJ R+29
- Lake Mohawk, NJ R+8
- Franklin, NJ R+23
- Lafayette, NJ R+27
- Hamburg, NJ R+18
- Oak Ridge, NJ R+27
- Augusta, NJ R+35
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kingfield, TN R+49
- Wards Corner, NC D+5
- Warfield, VA D+3
- Fulton, CA D+28
- Creola, OH R+58
- Blue Rock, OH R+67
- Ogborn, MO R+63
- Union Hill, NC R+60
- Claud, AL R+74
- Fruitland, WA D+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.