South Stockton leans heavily Republican by roughly 36 points: about 32% of voters vote Democratic and 68% Republican.
About 73% of adults in South Stockton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in South Stockton, ~23% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How South Stockton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, South Stockton leans more Republican than 36 of 91 neighbors.
South Stockton runs about 49 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while South Stockton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why South Stockton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for South Stockton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
South Stockton votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while South Stockton runs about 49 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; South Stockton, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in South Stockton looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. South Stockton is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 63% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sinclairville, NY R+41
- Kabob, NY R+40
- Ellery Center, NY R+27
- Kimball Stand, NY R+36
- Maple Springs, NY R+30
- Gerry, NY R+41
- Bemus Point, NY R+14
- Stockton, NY R+35
- Dewittville, NY R+21
- Charlotte Center, NY R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Willey, IA R+57
- Mark, IA R+62
- Pierrepont, NY R+22
- Valley Fork, WV R+61
- Maple View, NY R+36
- Foundry Hill, TN R+69
- Orwin, PA R+64
- Taycheedah, WI R+31
- San Gregorio, CA D+36
- Lochmere, NH R+8
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.