Southpoint leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Southpoint typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Southpoint, ~29% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Southpoint compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Southpoint leans more Republican than 11 of 20 neighbors.
Southpoint runs about 5 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Southpoint. The northeast side is the most split-leaning (R+18) and the northwest side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 16 points.
Why Southpoint leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Southpoint, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 81% of residents in Southpoint drive to work alone, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Southpoint, Jacksonville, FL sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Southpoint looks the way it does
Turnout in Southpoint sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- San Jose, Jacksonville, FL D+16
- Goodby's Creek, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Brierwood, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Tiger Hole-Secret Woods, Jacksonville, FL R+17
- San Jose Forest, Jacksonville, FL R+23
- Secret Cove, Jacksonville, FL D+13
- Sans Souci, Jacksonville, FL R+14
- Baymeadows, Jacksonville, FL D+14
- Englewood, Jacksonville, FL R+5
- Craven, Jacksonville, FL R+3
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Colonial Heights, Mobile, AL D+60
- Mission Ridge, San Antonio, TX R+8
- Glendale, Madison, WI D+57
- McFerrin Park, Nashville, TN D+71
- Southgate Triangle, Missoula, MT D+26
- Heart of the Westside, Springfield, MO R+15
- Croissant Park, Fort Lauderdale, FL D+5
- Jacoby Creek, Arcata, CA D+59
- Wentworth Estates, Naples, FL R+16
- Madison Area, Grand Rapids, MI D+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.