Goodby's Creek leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Goodby's Creek typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Goodby's Creek, ~30% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Goodby's Creek compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Goodby's Creek leans more Republican than 8 of 20 neighbors.
Goodby's Creek runs about 5 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Why Goodby's Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Goodby's Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 80% of residents in Goodby's Creek drive to work alone, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Goodby's Creek, Jacksonville, FL sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Goodby's Creek looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Goodby's Creek is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 59%, below 59% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Brierwood, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- San Jose, Jacksonville, FL D+16
- Craven, Jacksonville, FL R+3
- San Jose Forest, Jacksonville, FL R+23
- Southpoint, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Sunbeam, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Baymeadows, Jacksonville, FL D+14
- Arrowhead, Jacksonville, FL R+16
- Lakewood, Jacksonville, FL R+12
- Secret Cove, Jacksonville, FL D+13
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Silver Swan, Milwaukee, WI D+74
- Southeast Mill Creek, Salem, OR R+6
- Downtown Ashland, Ashland, OH R+32
- Stockdale Greens, Bakersfield, CA R+15
- Feasterville, Feasterville-Trevose, PA R+13
- 1st Ward, Portsmouth, OH R+12
- Argyle Park, Columbus, OH D+80
- Downtown Geneva, Geneva, OH R+23
- Briarwood, Little Rock, AR D+49
- Bonneville Hills, Salt Lake City, UT D+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.