Craven is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 57% of adults in Craven typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Craven, ~27% vote Democratic, ~30% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Craven compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Craven leans more Republican than 4 of 22 neighbors.
Craven runs about 10 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Craven. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the west side runs the most Republican (R+13), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Craven leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Craven. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Craven, Jacksonville, FL sits below the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Craven looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 65% of households in Craven rent, about 40 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Brierwood, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Sunbeam, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Goodby's Creek, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Arrowhead, Jacksonville, FL R+16
- Southwood, Jacksonville, FL R+11
- Mandarin Station-Losco, Jacksonville, FL R+24
- Royal Lakes, Jacksonville, FL D+13
- Southpoint, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- San Jose Forest, Jacksonville, FL R+23
- Baymeadows, Jacksonville, FL D+14
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- East Springfield, Springfield, MA D+19
- Solivita, Poinciana, FL Even
- Napili-Honokowai, Lahaina, HI D+18
- Londontowne, Edgewater, MD Even
- Felida-Starcrest, Vancouver, WA D+16
- Far Westside, Syracuse, NY D+27
- Cross Fletcher, University, FL D+35
- Loretto, Jacksonville, FL R+24
- Brainerd, Chicago, IL D+84
- Eastgate, Bellevue, WA D+42
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.