St. Joe leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 67% of adults in St. Joe typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Joe, ~31% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How St. Joe compares
Among cities within 25 miles, St. Joe leans more Republican than 1 of 25 neighbors.
St. Joe runs about 14 points more Democratic than Louisiana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within St. Joe. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+22) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+64), a spread of about 86 points.
Why St. Joe leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for St. Joe, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 8% of adults in St. Joe hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Louisiana average of 19%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but St. Joe runs against that pattern.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; St. Joe, LA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in St. Joe looks the way it does
Turnout in St. Joe sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pearl River, LA R+52
- Slidell, LA R+17
- Hickory, LA R+70
- Oaklawn, LA R+41
- St. Benedict, LA R+54
- Lacombe, LA R+32
- North Shore, LA D+22
- Pearlington, MS R+46
- Picayune, MS R+45
- Talisheek, LA R+67
Cities with Similar Populations
- Touchstone, MS R+62
- Exeter, NE R+58
- Mulhall, OK R+65
- Kensett, IA R+38
- Browns Valley, MN R+36
- Worms, NE R+71
- Tribes Hill, NY R+32
- Easton, MI R+37
- Mascoma, NH D+8
- Prairieville, MI R+27
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Louisiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.