St. Marys City is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 51% of adults in St. Marys City typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in St. Marys City, ~24% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~49% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How St. Marys City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, St. Marys City leans more Republican than 14 of 90 neighbors.
St. Marys City runs about 32 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while St. Marys City is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why St. Marys City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for St. Marys City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
St. Marys City votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while St. Marys City runs about 32 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; St. Marys City, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in St. Marys City looks the way it does
Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and St. Marys City sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Park Hall, MD D+4
- Drayden, MD R+18
- St. Inigoes, MD R+14
- Valley Lee, MD R+14
- Lexington Park, MD D+21
- Dameron, MD R+12
- Piney Point, MD R+23
- Ridge, MD R+15
- Tall Timbers, MD R+21
- Patuxent River, MD D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lebo, KS R+60
- Ripley, MD D+35
- Mountain Ranch, CA R+18
- Percy, IL R+50
- Hiram, TX R+59
- Lewisville, AR R+23
- Lerna, IL R+56
- Mason, IL R+68
- Viola, KS R+59
- White Creek, NY R+23
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.