Valley Lee leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Valley Lee typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Valley Lee, ~34% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Valley Lee compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Valley Lee leans more Republican than 27 of 92 neighbors.
Valley Lee runs about 43 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Valley Lee is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Valley Lee. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+26) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Valley Lee leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Valley Lee, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Valley Lee votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Valley Lee runs about 43 points more Republican.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Valley Lee, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Valley Lee looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Valley Lee is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Valley Lee have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Drayden, MD R+18
- Tall Timbers, MD R+21
- Park Hall, MD D+4
- St. Marys City, MD R+4
- Piney Point, MD R+23
- Callaway, MD R+18
- Lexington Park, MD D+21
- Great Mills, MD D+16
- St. Inigoes, MD R+14
- Patuxent River, MD D+3
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alburg, VT R+21
- Massieville, OH R+58
- Winfield, IA R+35
- East Hazel Crest, IL D+65
- Olene, OR R+49
- Blue River, WI R+27
- Coral, MI R+48
- Hopewell, PA R+75
- Waterloo, MI R+16
- Goldvein, VA R+39
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.