Patuxent River is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 53% of adults in Patuxent River typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Patuxent River, ~27% vote Democratic, ~26% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Patuxent River compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Patuxent River sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 75 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 10 leaning the other way.
Patuxent River runs about 26 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole.
Why Patuxent River leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Patuxent River. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Patuxent River, MD sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Patuxent River looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 89% of households in Patuxent River rent, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Patuxent River sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lexington Park, MD D+21
- Great Mills, MD D+16
- Park Hall, MD D+4
- Dowell, MD R+2
- Solomons, MD Even
- California, MD R+3
- Callaway, MD R+18
- Chesapeake Ranch Estates, MD R+8
- St. Marys City, MD R+4
- Valley Lee, MD R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Newington, GA R+34
- Tumtum, WA R+46
- Rutherford, CA D+39
- Rollingstone, MN R+35
- Cavines, TX R+76
- Lorenzo, TX R+55
- Ontario, WI R+26
- Kensington, NY Even
- Norphlet, AR R+64
- Ringling, OK R+72
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.