Stapleton leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Stapleton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stapleton, ~19% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stapleton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stapleton leans more Republican than 54 of 75 neighbors.
Stapleton runs about 53 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Stapleton is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Stapleton. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+54) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+31), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Stapleton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stapleton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Stapleton votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Stapleton runs about 53 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Stapleton, VA sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Stapleton looks the way it does
Turnout in Stapleton sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Galts Mill, VA R+38
- Clifford, VA R+53
- Riverville, VA R+45
- Stonewall, VA R+51
- Joshua Falls, VA R+13
- Coolwell, VA R+44
- Oakville, VA R+42
- Gladstone, VA R+39
- Sweet Briar, VA R+25
- Madison Heights, VA R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Lynxville, WI R+29
- Phelps, MN R+36
- Dunfermline, IL R+39
- Beazley, VA R+8
- Woody, IL R+61
- Graball, AL D+5
- Sweden, SC D+25
- Jones, TX R+80
- Newtown, VA R+8
- Hitchcock, SD R+70
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.