Stonewall is a Republican stronghold. About 15% of voters here vote Democratic and 85% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Stonewall typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stonewall, ~8% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stonewall compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stonewall leans more Republican than 36 of 61 neighbors.
Stonewall runs about 39 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Why Stonewall leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stonewall, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Stonewall, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Stonewall sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 86% of cities).
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Stonewall, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Stonewall looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 86% of adults in Stonewall have completed high school, below 77% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lafe, AR R+68
- Knobel, AR R+66
- Peach Orchard, AR R+67
- Evening Star, AR R+69
- Oak Grove Heights, AR R+66
- Marmaduke, AR R+66
- Beech Grove, AR R+68
- Halliday, AR R+70
- Stanford, AR R+68
- Boydsville, AR R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zemuly, MS R+3
- Stringtown, WA R+18
- Five Points, OH R+55
- Westford, NY R+30
- Paraje, NM D+47
- Marion, MN R+15
- Crumpler, WV Even
- Greencastle, OH R+43
- Newton Falls, NY R+33
- Greenock, PA R+23
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.