Stonewall is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 84% of adults in Stonewall typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stonewall, ~15% vote Democratic, ~69% Republican, and ~16% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stonewall compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stonewall leans more Republican than 14 of 16 neighbors.
Stonewall runs about 50 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Stonewall. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+69) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+58), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Stonewall leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stonewall, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many family households vote Republican. About 78% of households in Stonewall are family households, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 67%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Stonewall, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Stonewall looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Stonewall have completed high school, about 11 points above the Texas average of 86%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Stonewall sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Blumenthal, TX R+60
- Hye, TX R+56
- Luckenbach, TX R+68
- Willow City, TX R+70
- Cain City, TX R+51
- Johnson City, TX R+49
- Fredericksburg, TX R+50
- Blanco, TX R+53
- Sisterdale, TX R+58
- Gold, TX R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fort Myer, VA D+34
- Elizabeth, MN R+39
- Norman, NC R+31
- Heidrick, KY R+66
- Buffalo Soapstone, AK R+32
- Dodge, TX R+56
- Spring Garden, VA R+55
- Whitley Gardens, CA R+50
- Eldridge, AL R+86
- Amazonia, MO R+61
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.