Strafford is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Strafford typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Strafford, ~18% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Strafford compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Strafford leans more Republican than 10 of 49 neighbors.
Strafford runs about 37 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Strafford. The east side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+44), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Strafford leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Strafford. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Frequent mental distress and voter turnout
Places with a low frequent-mental-distress rate tend to turn out at a higher rate; Strafford, MO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Reported mental distress does not drive turnout; it reflects economic and health conditions tied to voting.
Why turnout in Strafford looks the way it does
Turnout in Strafford sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Northview, MO R+67
- Valley Water Mills, MO R+52
- Fair Grove, MO R+58
- Fruitland, MO R+63
- Rogersville, MO R+52
- Henderson, MO R+62
- Marshfield, MO R+59
- Springfield, MO R+10
- Olive, MO R+66
- Fordland, MO R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Caldwell, OH R+48
- Demorest, GA R+60
- Evergreen, MT R+45
- Fishersville, VA R+27
- Butler, NJ R+11
- Bryans Road, MD D+58
- Titusville, PA R+36
- Odenville, AL R+71
- Floral City, FL R+53
- Doylestown, OH R+39
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.